| # | SYMBOL | SIDE | ENTRY | STOP | TARGET | WHY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FTFT | LONG | 2.79 | 1.68 | 3.90 | gap +36.1%, pre-market vol 9,347,320, rvol 1.1x |
| 2 | USDE | LONG | 7.10 | 4.60 | 9.60 | gap +6.6%, pre-market vol 407,038, rvol 0.1x |
| 3 | LPTH | SHORT | 9.22 | 10.03 | 8.41 | gap -4.8%, pre-market vol 128,113, rvol 0.1x |
| 4 | SMR | SHORT | 9.63 | 10.32 | 8.94 | gap -5.7%, pre-market vol 2,577,886, rvol 0.1x |
| 5 | BW | LONG | 7.63 | 6.97 | 8.28 | gap +6.4%, pre-market vol 178,506, rvol 0.1x |
| 6 | ORCL | LONG | 164.55 | 155.26 | 173.84 | gap +7.6%, pre-market vol 4,548,499, rvol 0.3x |
| 7 | UPST | LONG | 26.18 | 24.71 | 27.65 | gap +4.3%, pre-market vol 139,202, rvol 0.1x |
| 8 | CPRT | LONG | 31.90 | 30.69 | 33.11 | gap +3.7%, pre-market vol 155,826, rvol 0.1x |
| 9 | TNON | LONG | 8.14 | 5.82 | 10.46 | gap +53.6%, pre-market vol 23,927,822, rvol 2.1x |
| 10 | ACVA | LONG | 10.46 | 9.76 | 11.15 | gap +44.8%, pre-market vol 34,277,318, rvol 8.3x |
| SYMBOL | SIDE | ENTRY | EXIT | P&L | EXIT REASON |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NAVN | SHORT | 20.79 | 20.56 | +1.11% | time |
| TNON | LONG | 4.47 | 5.12 | +14.63% | target |
2 trades, 2 winners, a net gain of $251 on the paper book. Every fill above is real output from the live pipeline: the same leads published here in the morning, executed with bracket exits and risk-normalized sizing, reported win or lose.
Track record restarted August 17, 2026 after a round of execution fixes (entry timing, closed-bar confirmation, regime parity, bracket geometry). Earlier results are archived and excluded here.
Every desk runs its own notional pool and its goal is to beat the S&P 500 over the same dates. Return on the desk's own notional pool: realised trades plus open positions marked at the close. Falcon and Hunter share the day pool. Paper account. Benchmark: SPY price return between the same closes.
| DESK | CAPITAL | THIS WEEK | THIS MONTH | SINCE AUG 17 | SINCE START | OPEN P&L | TRADES |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Falcon morning gap and relay books, flat by the close · since 2026-08-18 | $100,000 | +0.26% ✓ S&P -0.78% | +0.35% ✓ S&P -0.37% | +0.11% ✓ S&P -1.09% | +0.11% ✓ S&P -1.09% | $0 | 15 |
Hunter all-day confirmation engine, one position at a time · since 2026-08-17 | $100,000 | +0.56% ✓ S&P -0.78% | +0.28% ✓ S&P -0.37% | +1.93% ✓ S&P -1.56% | +1.93% ✓ S&P -1.56% | $0 | 29 |
Raptor multi-day swings, up to five sessions · since 2026-08-21 | $100,000 | +0.13% ✓ S&P -0.78% | +2.14% ✓ S&P -0.37% | +2.22% ✓ S&P +0.21% | +2.22% ✓ S&P +0.21% | $159 | 6 |
Osprey crypto momentum, daily rebalance · since 2026-08-17 | $50,000 | -1.80% ✗ S&P -0.78% | +0.95% ✓ S&P -0.37% | +8.84% ✓ S&P -1.56% | +8.84% ✓ S&P -1.56% | $4,640 | 8 |
Kestrel index and mega-cap RSI dips, days to a week · since 2026-09-09 | $100,000 | -0.04% ✓ S&P -0.23% | -0.04% ✓ S&P -0.23% | -0.04% ✓ S&P -0.23% | -0.04% ✓ S&P -0.23% | -$36 | 0 |
Harrier put spreads on rich implied volatility, weeks to a trade · since 2026-09-11 | $50,000 | -0.05% ✗ S&P +0.84% | -0.05% ✗ S&P +0.84% | -0.05% ✗ S&P +0.84% | -0.05% ✗ S&P +0.84% | -$26 | 0 |
| All desks | $400,000 | -0.33% ✓ S&P -0.78% | +0.42% ✓ S&P -0.37% | +1.78% ✓ S&P -1.56% | +1.78% ✓ S&P -1.56% | — | — |
Short put near 18 delta, long put about 1.5 percent below, 28 to 50 days out, only above the 200-day average and when implied volatility is at least 1.1x realized. Managed at half the credit, one credit of loss, 21 days to expiry or a breached strike.
| NAME | EXPIRY | DTE | SHORT / LONG | QTY | CREDIT | MAX RISK | OPENED |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AMZN | 2026-10-23 | 42 | 235 / 230 | 2 | 0.61 | $862 | 2026-09-11 |
| NAME | SPOT | EXPIRY | SHORT / LONG | CREDIT | DELTA | IV / RV | SCORE | VERDICT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GOOGL | 339.94 | 2026-10-23 | 320 / 300 | 2.98 | 0.25 | 1.53 | 1.14 | PASS |
| AMZN | 256.70 | 2026-10-23 | 235 / 230 | 0.69 | 0.18 | 1.24 | 1.14 | PASS |
| AAPL | 332.17 | 2026-10-23 | 310 / 305 | 0.53 | 0.20 | 1.12 | 0.83 | PASS |
| QQQ | 716.15 | 2026-10-23 | 670 / 660 | 1.01 | 0.18 | 1.87 | 0.80 | PASS |
| META | 652.67 | 2026-10-23 | 600 / 590 | 1.56 | 0.23 | 1.06 | 1.24 | IV/RV 1.06 under 1.10 |
| NVDA | 221.24 | 2026-10-23 | 200 / 195 | 0.58 | 0.18 | 0.81 | 0.94 | IV/RV 0.81 under 1.10 |
| SPY | 765.69 | 2026-10-23 | 729 / 720 | 0.88 | 0.18 | — | — | credit 0.88 under the floor 0.90 |
| IWM | 289.82 | 2026-10-23 | 270 / 266 | 0.39 | 0.16 | — | — | credit 0.39 under the floor 0.40 |
| SYMBOL | ENTRY | STOP | TARGET |
|---|---|---|---|
| MRNA | 145.51 | 100.32 | 213.31 |
| MU | 1,015.00 | 922.63 | 1,153.56 |
| AMD | 477.45 | 441.31 | 531.66 |
| SNOW | 337.35 | 302.43 | 389.73 |
| ROKU | 155.59 | 151.97 | 161.01 |
Long-horizon posture: DEFENSIVE (regime-switched model, updated daily).
Want the research desk on a specific name? Ask, and the MIDAS engine runs the full workup — valuation scenarios, Monte Carlo risk, peer comps, and an audited narrative — and publishes it here, usually within one trading day. Requests go through GitHub, so they are public and spam-free.
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